Commercial Market Confidence Slowly Returns

While Australia has fared better than most countries in its response to COVID-19, the commercial market has taken a hit.

The recovery from the pandemic amplified recession is now, slowly, starting to find the commercial property market sentiment according to NAB’s quarterly commercial sentiment survey which – through its Commercial Property Index – saw expectations for capital values and rents lift to a still weak -35 pts, well below the overage of 0 pts.

Overall sentiment towards the commercial property market lifted in all states in Q4, although still negative, ranging from -64 pts in VIC to -11 pts in QLD and WA. Market conditions are expected to remain negative in all states in the next 12 months except in WA (+8 pts), with VIC (-51 pts) the least confident.

Longer-term confidence however looks more positive in most states, except VIC (-16 pts) and NSW (-5 pts), with WA (+34 pts) highest.

Sentiment is not consistent across all commercial sectors, CBD hotels registered a score of -64 pts, Retail -58pts and Office -41pts, the industrial sentiment rose sharply (-25 pts) pointing to demand for online retail and requirements for warehousing and logistic spaces as the cause.

Expectations for a stronger near-term recovery in economic activity has boosted overall confidence levels in commercial property markets with an expectation to measure +2 pts in two-years.

On the development front, an above average 54% of property developers plan to start new works in the short-term (next 6 months), up from 39% in Q3.

Further, the rental outlook across commercial markets is less decisive, with Retail (-3.9% & -1.8%) and Office (-2.7% & -1.4%), with the outlook weakest in the Eastern seaboard states. The outlook for Industrial rents (1.4% & 2.1%) has however improved sharply.

A Mid-Century Modern home in Carmel, California, hit the market on Friday for just the third time in 70 years with a listing price of $4.25 million.

Located in the community of Carmel Highlands, the house is just steps from the coastline and comes with private beach access, according to the listing with Tim Allen of Coldwell Banker Realty in Northern California. Allen was not immediately available for comment.

The property last changed hands in 2010 when Hollywood screenwriter Richard Outten bought it for $990,000, public records show. Outten penned the screenplays for the 1992 movie “Pet Sematary Two” and the 1987 film “Lionheart,” and created the story for the 2012 “Journey to the Center of the Earth” sequel, “Journey 2: The Mysterious Island.” He was not immediately available for comment.

Built in 1953, the home’s mid-century charm has been preserved over the years while still being updated for modern living. Interior details include wood paneling, exposed-brick walls and beamed ceilings.

The single-level house has 1,785 square feet, which includes three bedrooms and two full bathrooms. Though not directly on the water, large windows flanking the adobe-brick, wood-burning fireplace look out at the ocean.

Sliding glass doors create a seamless flow between indoor and outdoor living. Outside, there’s a large patio surrounded by lush landscaping, and there are also meandering paths through sustainable succulent gardens, according to the listing.

In addition to its close proximity to the beach, the home is a 10-minute walk from downtown Carmel-by-the-Sea.

As of July, the median list price in Carmel is $3.1 million, up 8% from last year, even as active listings have increased 50% year over year, according to data from Realtor.com.

Commercial Market Confidence Slowly Returns

Commercial property sentiment has improved for a consecutive quarter.

Owned by Richard Outten, who’s penned screenplays for films including “Pet Sematary Two” and “Lionheart,” this is only the third time the home has been on the market