New York City Reigns as the World’s Hub for Millionaires

More millionaires call New York City home than anywhere else in the world, according to a report from international wealth migration specialists Henley & Partners.

The Big Apple, which has seen its high-net-worth population jump by 48% over the past decade, is home to 349,500 millionaires, 744 centi-millionaires—those with liquid investable wealth of over US$100 million—and 60 billionaires, according to the firm, which collaborated with data intelligence firm New World Wealth for the analysis.

The city also ranked as the top spot for millionaires last year.

California’s Bay Area, encompassing San Francisco and the tech-mecca of Silicon Valley, ranked second. Wealth in the Bay Area has grown at one of the fastest rates in the world, increasing its number of wealthy citizens by a sizeable 82% over the past decade. It’s now home to 305,700 millionaires, 675 centi-millionaires, and 68 billionaires.

New York and the Bay Area were among 11 areas in the U.S. on the top 50 ranking, making the country the world’s foremost hub of moneyed residents.

Across the pond, London, which ranked as the wealthiest city in the world for many years, tumbled down the ranking, and now sits in fifth place with just 227,000 millionaires, 370 centi-millionaires, and 35 billionaires, a decline of 10% over the past decade, said the report, which was released earlier this week.

Cities with the fastest growing wealth, meanwhile, can be found in China.

Shenzhen’s wealthy population is snowballing most, with their numbers surging by 140% in the last 10 years, the report said.

“Hangzhou has also experienced a massive 125% increase in its [high-net-worth] residents, and Guangzhou’s millionaires have grown by 110% over the past decade,” said Andrew Amoils, head of research at New World Wealth, in the report.

Looking ahead, when it comes to wealth growth potential over the next decade, “cities to watch include Bengaluru, India; Scottsdale, Arizona; and Ho Chi Minh City in Vietnam,” he added. “All three have enjoyed exceptional growth rates of over 100% in their resident millionaire populations over the past 10 years.”

Underpinning the growth of the world’s wealthiest cities has been the robust performance of financial markets of late, from the S&P 500 to Bitcoin, according to Juerg Steffen, CEO of Henley & Partners.

Plus, “rapid advancements in artificial intelligence, robotics, and blockchain technology have provided new opportunities for wealth creation and accumulation,” Steffen said. “Yet, even as new opportunities emerge, old risks persist. The war in Ukraine, which has seen Moscow’s millionaire population plummet by 24% to 30,300, is a stark reminder of the fragility of wealth in an uncertain and unstable world.”

Tuesday’s retail sales report could be the scrap of evidence that tips the balance as Federal Reserve officials decide how much to cut interest rates on Wednesday.

It is practically a given that the central bank will reduce rates. Inflation has fallen to its lowest point since February 2021, giving the Fed more flexibility to focus on the second component of its dual mandate—achieving maximum employment. Although the labor market remains resilient, the most recent two jobs reports have been weaker than expected, putting some pressure on the Fed to loosen monetary policy.

The question now is by how much rates will fall—0.5 percentage point, or 0.25 point? The indications from interest-rate futures are split , recently favoring the more aggressive half-percentage-point decrease.

Andrew Hollenhorst, an economist at Citi , leans toward the likelihood the Fed is more cautious on Wednesday, cutting rates by 0.25 percentage points. But he notes that it it is a close call that depends on the dynamics of the bank’s rate-setting committee and the strength or weakness of Tuesday’s retail sales report.

A positive surprise would suggest that both consumers and the labor market remain resilient, paving the way for a more modest cut. If the report comes in well below expectations, however, Fed officials may grow concerned that a weaker labor market is weighing on consumer spending, which could lead to a bigger cut, Hollenhorst added.

Louis Navellier, founder and chief investment officer of the money-management firm Navellier agrees. “In theory, if the August retail sales report is horrible, then a 0.5% Fed key interest rate cut may be forthcoming on Wednesday,” he said.

Economists are expecting retail sales will decline by 0.2% in August from July, according to FactSet. They jumped by a surprising 1% in July .

Lower gasoline prices and car sales will likely drag the headline number lower. Indeed, stripping out car and gas sales, retail sales are projected to increase by about 0.3% month over month.

Yet there is growing concern that even excluding autos and gas sales, the sales figure will be soft. While spending was remarkably strong in July, the Fed’s latest Beige Book flagged that consumer spending ticked down in August, points out Bill Adams, chief economist for Comerica Bank . Many retailers, particularly those catering to lower-income shoppers, have warned that Americans are being cautious and exceedingly choosy about what they are buying and where.

The impact of the retail sales report will likely extend beyond the immediate rate cut. The insights it contains about U.S. consumers will also factor into the Fed’s quarterly update to its Summary of Economic Projections, containing officials’ latest forecasts for the U.S. economy, inflation, and near-term interest rates.

The so-called dot plot , which charts the individual interest-rate projections of the seven members of the Fed’s board of governors and the 12 regional Fed presidents, is always closely watched as investors try to chart the Fed’s future actions.

Hollenhorst believes the median dot showing where rates will be at the end of 2024 should show “at least” 0.75 percentage-point of cuts, factoring in 0.25 point at each meeting through the end of the year. But it is likely that officials will leave the door open for more cuts in case data on the job market or consumer spending sour faster than expected.