Singapore Upgrades Full-Year Economic Outlook - Kanebridge News
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Singapore Upgrades Full-Year Economic Outlook

The Singapore economy grew 2.9% in the second quarter from a year earlier

By AMANDA LEE
Wed, Aug 14, 2024 9:25amGrey Clock 3 min

SINGAPORE—Singapore’s economic outlook seems brighter, as resilience in external demand and a recovery in the key electronics sector helps guard against headwinds elsewhere, the trade ministry said as it adjusted the city-state’s growth forecast for the year.

The Singapore economy grew 2.9% in the second quarter from a year earlier, according to revised data from the Ministry of Trade and Industry released on Tuesday. That matched the advance estimate compiled in July and compared with growth of 3.0% in the first quarter.

For the first half of the year, growth averaged 3.0%, the data showed.

Taking into account the performance of the Singapore economy in the first half, as well as global and domestic economic factors, MTI updated its full-year growth forecast to 2.0% to 3.0% from 1.0% to 3.0%.

Expansion in the April-to-June period was driven mainly by the wholesale trade, finance & insurance, and information & communications sectors, the ministry said. The manufacturing sector—a key engine of the economy—shrank in the quarter, largely due to a sharp fall in the volatile pharmaceuticals segment, the data showed. On the bright side, electronics returned to growth, backed by strong demand for smartphones, PCs and AI-related chips, it added.

“Singapore’s external demand outlook is expected to be resilient for the rest of the year. However, downside risks in the global economy remain,” the MTI said.

How other global trading partners fare is key for the trade-reliant economy of Singapore, which is well-placed to benefit from the global tech cycle upturn but exposed to downturns abroad.

A potential headwind could come from a slight slowdown in the U.S. economy, where MTI expects consumption growth to ease as the labor market softens. Growth in other advanced economies like the European Union and Japan is tipped to pick up, however.

Among Singapore’s major trading partners in Asia, MTI sees a slight slowdown in China in the second half of the year as investment growth tapers but thinks the property market will stabilize as government support measures kick in, boosting consumer sentiment. Growth in key Southeast Asian economies is projected to pick up slightly in the second half of the year as domestic demand strengthens, aided further by recoveries in global electronics and tourism demand.

Risks that could put the brakes on Singapore’s economic momentum include geopolitical and trade conflicts, which could hurt business sentiment and drive up production costs. Disruptions to the global disinflation process meanwhile could lead to higher for longer rates and trigger market volatility, MTI said.

“Against this backdrop, Singapore’s manufacturing sector is expected to see a gradual recovery in the second half of the year,” MTI said, expecting electronics to recover strongly.

Singapore’s GDP grew 0.4% on a quarter-over-quarter seasonally adjusted basis in the second quarter, the revised data showed. That matched both the advance estimate for the quarter, and was steady from the 0.4% expansion seen in the first quarter.

Meanwhile, data in a separate release from Enterprise Singapore showed that the city-state’s total merchandise trade expanded by 10% on the year in the second quarter, surging from the 4.8% growth seen in the first quarter.

Non-oil domestic exports slid 6.4% in the second quarter from a high base a year ago, widening the 3.4% decrease seen in the previous quarter, the data showed. Shipments of pharmaceuticals dragged on the results, but electronics grew for the first time in eight quarters.

Enterprise Singapore expects total trade to be supported by high oil prices, and the electronics recovery in the latter half of the year to boost exports, driven by demand in AI servers and consumer devices. Key downside risks for the NODX forecast remain, including a weaker-than-expected recovery in the final months of the year.

“Taking the above into consideration, the 2024 growth forecasts are narrowed to +5.0% to +6.0% for total merchandise trade and to +4.0% to +5.0% for NODX, from the earlier forecasts of +4.0% to +6.0% for both,” it said.



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Strong family financial planning can help reduce taxes and support younger generations. From intrafamily loans and asset gifts to inheritance disclaimers, strategic cooperation can create meaningful financial benefits—when families have the trust and structure to make it work.

By Laura Saunders
Fri, Oct 9, 2026 4 min

Happy is the family whose members—parents, grandparents and grown children—trust each other enough to cooperate on shared goals, especially financial ones. When that is truly the case, Uncle Sam’s tax rules can help as well.

This matters especially now that mortgage rates are above 7%, and many families are looking for ways to help younger members. If the elders have resources and are confident younger ones can cooperate, a family loan could make homeownership possible while providing the elders with a useful income stream.

Other strategies can actually lower taxes, such as when funding 529 plans or Roth IRAs, or when someone inherits a traditional IRA with required withdrawals larger than they will need.

Here are three strategies useful for functional families.

Intrafamily loans

It is perfectly legal for families to lend money to a relative for a down payment or even a private mortgage.

But it is important not to cut corners, says Ryan McKeown, a CPA with Modern Wealth Enhancement in Minnesota. If the loan is for a down payment, be honest with the mortgage provider and have a formal agreement. The lender owes tax on the interest payments received.

If the loan is for a private mortgage, both sides should have legal representation with a formal written agreement, including payment terms. The lender owes tax on the interest, and the borrower often can deduct it if he or she itemizes.

To avoid IRS trouble, the interest rate shouldn’t be lower than the agency’s Applicable Federal Rate at the time of the loan. Currently that is about 5% for loans longer than nine years; about 4.5% for loans three to nine years; and about 4% for loans three years or less. Currently, traditional mortgage rates are generally above 7%.

In addition, the lender could use the $19,000 annual gift-tax exemption (described below) to forgive some or all of the interest or principal annually. If both lenders and borrowers are married, that is up to $76,000 a year. There is no tax for the borrower on such forgiveness, because it is from a gift.

If you’re going this route, McKeown advises against having a fixed plan to forgive the debt. Instead, do it in one-off letters specifying the amount—and keep careful records. Otherwise the IRS might try to treat the loan as a taxable gift.

Asset gifts

Powerful tax-saving moves for families often use gift-tax provisions. Under current law, anyone can give anyone else up to $19,000 of assets annually, free of gift tax. That means a married couple with three grandchildren could give them a total of $114,000 in 2026.

The gifts can be cash or other assets, like stock. For noncash gifts, the cost basis—which is the starting point for measuring taxable gain after a sale—“carries over” to the recipient. So if someone buys $1,000 of stock and gives it away when it is worth $5,000, the recipient’s cost basis is $1,000. If the recipient later sells the shares for $8,000, the taxable gain is $7,000.

Here’s an example showing how gifts could save a family taxes. Grandma is a widow of modest means, while her child and spouse have prospered. The couple has two children, and they want to contribute $5,000 to a 529 college-savings plan for each—but they need to sell stock to do it. Their tax rate on the sale would be 18.8%, and they would need to sell about $11,000 of stock.

However, Grandma’s federal tax rate on the stock sale is 0%. If the couple gives $10,000 of shares to Grandma, she could sell them, pay no tax, and fund the grandchildren’s 529 plans. This saves about $1,000 of tax.

These moves are legal, and they could be used in other ways, such as to help a young person fund a Roth IRA.

But trust among family members is essential: Under the law, givers can’t put conditions on a gift. Grandma could use her stock proceeds to take a cruise, but she makes 529 contributions instead.

Mark Sellner, a retired tax attorney and CPA living in Sarasota, Fla., uses this strategy. His children sell stock he gives them and fund 529 plans for his grandchildren.

The family’s tax savings aren’t huge, but he likes other benefits. The sales by his children don’t boost his adjusted gross income, which in turn could raise his Medicare Irmaa premiums or his 3.8% surtax on net investment income.

Sellner doesn’t worry about his children using the funds for another purpose.

“There can’t be any strings attached to gifts. Of course, it is up to us to decide whether to make them in the future,” he says.

Two caveats: The “kiddie tax” applies to most children under age 24, and it is levied at the parents’ rate on investment income above $2,700 in 2026. Consider this before making gifts to a young person.

Investors who give away stock also forgo the step-up, an important provision that exempts assets held at death from capital-gains tax.

Sellner knows he’s losing a step-up, but says, “The children could use a little more now. Why should they wait 20 years to get it?”

Disclaimers

A disclaimer is a highly useful strategy in which one heir renounces an inheritance in favor of another heir. Assuming family members cooperate, this can save taxes.

Here’s one example. Dad died and had a large traditional IRA that he left to Mom. She has enough assets and income to cover her expenses, and she lives in a state with a stiff estate tax. The inherited IRA would put her estate over the threshold.

Also surviving are three young-adult children. If Mom disclaims all or part of Dad’s IRA within nine months of his death, that amount could go directly to the children. They will have 10 years to empty the account, and the family as a whole will likely save estate and income taxes.

Disclaimers have many key details, especially regarding beneficiary documents. Although heirs have great freedom in choosing what assets to disclaim, the rules about who gets disclaimed property are rigid. It is best if the original owner names tiers of heirs so that if one disclaims, the next recipient is clear.