CHINA’S ECONOMY SHOWS SIGNS OF STABILIZING—AND A SLOWER RECOVERY

China’s economy is showing signs of stabilising but the improvements are decelerating. That could leave it in an L-shaped recovery—where the economy doesn’t see an upturn—that is unlikely to excite investors.

The iShares MSCI China ETF (ticker: MCHI) is down 11% so far this year. China’s recovery from three years of Covid restrictions has underwhelmed, there are concerns about the country’s longer term growth prospects, and geopolitical tensions loom.

While most analysts expect China to hit its 5% economic growth target, that may keep officials from bigger stimulus efforts, resulting in a recovery that is still anemic.

Indeed, a spate of October data from independent research firm China Beige Book show areas such as the property market still struggling to find a bottom, while there has been a slowdown in consumer spending.

Housing sales have softened in October from a month earlier and commercial real estate has had its worst showing this year. Both factory production and domestic orders also slowed.

Consumer spending is cooling, with households pulling back from big-ticket items including cars and appliances. They also are reducing their revenge spending on travel and dining out in recent months, according to China Beige Book.

Still, analysts are feeling more confident Beijing will do what is needed to create some stability, especially after it approved an additional $1 trillion renminbi government bond issuance to support infrastructure investment.

The debt will be issued not by local governments but by the sovereign, pushing headline deficit to 3.8% of GDP. It is a surprise move indicating political will to put a floor under economic activity, but also the latest signal of pain in the economy, says TS Lombard’s Rory Green in a note to clients.

Central authorities are trying to put a floor on equities, with reports Central Huijin Investment Limited—which is a part of the sovereign-wealth fund—bought exchange-traded funds. And authorities are trying to limit weakness in the yuan as part of stimulus efforts, he adds.

The next guideposts are a Politburo meeting in November and a Central Economic Work Conference in December that could offer clues to next year’s growth and fiscal outlook.

Green expects more emphasis on reallocating resources to technology sectors aligned with Beijing’s efforts to become more self-reliant, and a possible plan on how officials resolve local government debt burden.

Millennial women’s wealth is outpacing men’s as a new generation inherits and grows their assets at a wider scale than ever before, according to RBC Wealth Management.

In a survey of roughly 2,000 men and women with at least $1 million in investable assets, millennial women respondents had an average of $4.6 million, compared with $3.8 million for women of all age groups and $4.5 million for all men.

Inheritance is one part of the picture, as baby boomers are expected to transfer $124 trillion to the next generation, but so is the progress millennial women have made in the world of business, investment and lucrative professional careers as they close the gap with men.

“Millennial women are catching up, or have outpaced the males as far as their wealth building,” said Angie O’Leary, head of wealth strategies at RBC. “We know that’s coming from a more diversified set of investments, such as entrepreneurship, real estate and of course, investments [in financial markets].”

Millennial women, now in their 30s and 40s, tend to differ from earlier generations of women more than they do from men in terms of their source of wealth. While investments were the largest driver of wealth across all categories, millennial women cited business ownership, innovation, and executive roles far more than Gen X or boomer women.

More than 60% of millennial women cited business ownership and more than 40% mentioned executive roles, but neither exceeded 22% for either Gen Xers and Boomers. Younger women also grew their fortunes from professional sports or arts 39% of the time, compared with just 6% and 1% for Gen Xers and Boomers, respectively.

In terms of inheritance, the gap between generations was smaller. About 37% of men and 35% of women cited family money as a source of wealth overall, breaking down to 44% of millennials, 30% of Gen X and 33% of boomer women.

With women controlling so much wealth, their spending and investments as a group are evolving and extending into areas previously considered stereotypically male such as real estate, cars and watches, O’Leary said. “Women are starting to look a lot like their male counterparts when it comes to investments, real estate, philanthropy,” she said. “That’s a really interesting emerging female economy.”

In real estate, for example, single women made up 20% of home buyers in 2024 up from 11% in 1981, when the National Association of Realtors began tracking the data. By contrast, single men make up 8% of the market and have never exceeded 10%, according to NAR.

While men and women shared largely similar priorities overall in terms of well-being, relationships, legacy and personal drive, younger generations of women were successively more likely to value drive and personal power, and successively less likely to rank relationships and social bonds—though that could also be a function of age and stage of life.

“This generational shift suggests evolving societal norms and responsibilities, where younger women seek personal achievements, while older cohorts value nurturing connections and community stability, affecting their financial and lifestyle choices,” the report said.

CHINA’S ECONOMY SHOWS SIGNS OF STABILIZING—AND A SLOWER RECOVERY

A survey of people with at least $1 million in investable assets found women in their 30s and 40s look nothing like older generations in terms of assets and priorities