Europe Must Not Be ‘Unprepared’ For Trade War, ECB’s Rehn Says

Higher barriers to trade would have a negative impact on the global economy, and Europe must be prepared for increased tensions, Bank of Finland Gov. Olli Rehn said Tuesday.

Rehn, who is a member of the European Central Bank’s governing council, said a soft landing for the eurozone economy was still a plausible scenario, but that the outlook is clouded by growing geopolitical uncertainty.

A new element in that uncertainty is the trade policy of Donald Trump in his second term as U.S. president. Trump has expressed a desire to raise tariffs on imports from a wide range of countries.

“What we do know is that significant import duties could have negative ramifications for the global economy,” Rehn said.

Questions about the future of one of Europe’s key trade relationships add to the other uncertainties that face policymakers, including Russia’s war on Ukraine, the conflict in the Middle East, and China’s military and technological ambitions, Rehn said.

“A new trade war is the last thing we need amid today’s geopolitical rivalries, especially among allies,” he told investors at a London conference.

Rehn said Europe must be better positioned to respond than it was during Trump’s first term.

“If a trade war were to start, Europe must not be unprepared,” he said.

The threat of new tariffs comes at a time when the eurozone’s two largest economies—Germany and France—are being led by minority governments. However, trade policy is decided at the level of the European Union as a whole, and implemented by the European Commission, rather than national governments.

“Political turmoil in Germany and France underscores the importance of the European Commission in providing leadership and direction,” Rehn said. Rehn was a member of the Commission from 2004 until 2014.

The ECB continues to say that its key interest rate needs to stay restrictive, and damp demand to cool inflation. But as it cuts its key rate, there will come a point where it moves to neutral, where policy is neither restraining or stimulating the economy. Rehn said that was likely to happen in the first half of next year.

“We might expect leaving restrictive territory between January and June, ” he said.

Porsche car deliveries fell 10% in 2025 as demand was hit by a slowdown in luxury spending in China and as it ceased production of its 718 Boxster and 718 Cayman models through the year.

The German luxury sports-car maker said Friday that it delivered 279,449 cars in the year, down from 310,718 in 2024.

The company had a tumultuous year as it contended with a stuttering transition to electric vehicles and a tough Chinese market, while the Trump administration’s automotive tariffs presented a further headwind.

Deliveries in its largest sales region of North America were virtually flat at 86,229, but continued challenges in China meant deliveries in the country dropped 26% to 41,938 vehicles.

Automakers have faced intense competition in China, sparking a prolonged price war as rivals cut prices to win customers, while a lengthy property market slump and economic-growth concerns in the country has also led to buyers pulling back on luxury spending.

“Key reasons for the decline remain the challenging market conditions, particularly in the luxury segment, and the very intense competition in the Chinese market, especially for all-electric models,” the company said.

Other German brands including Audi, BMW and Mercedes-Benz have all recently reported that the challenging Chinese market hit demand last year.

In Europe, Porsche deliveries fell 13% to 66,340 cars excluding its home market of Germany, while German deliveries dropped 16%.

The company cut guidance several times last year as it warned of hits from U.S. import tariffs, investments in new combustion engines and hybrid models amid the slow uptake of EVs, and the competitive situation in China.

Porsche also last year announced plans to scale back its EV ambitions and instead expand its lineup with more gas-powered and plug-in hybrid models than it had originally planned.

However, in its statement Friday, the company said it increased its share of electrified-vehicle deliveries in the year. Around 34% of vehicles delivered worldwide were electrified, an increase of 7.4 percentage points on year, with about 22% all-electric vehicles and 12% plug-in hybrids.

That leaves its global share of fully-electric vehicles at the upper end of its target range of 20% to 22% for 2025.

In Europe, for the first time in 2025, more electrified vehicles than purely combustion engine vehicles were delivered.

The Macan topped the delivery charts in the year, while the 911 reached a record high with 51,583 deliveries worldwide, it said.

Porsche said it is investing in its three-pronged powertrain strategy and will continue to respond to increasing demand for personalization requests from customers.

“We have a clear focus for 2026,” Sales and Marketing Chief Matthias Becker said. “We want to manage supply and demand in accordance with our ‘value over volume’ strategy.

“At the same time, we are realistically planning our volume for 2026 following the end of production of the 718 and Macan with combustion engines.”

Europe Must Not Be ‘Unprepared’ For Trade War, ECB’s Rehn Says

Rehn said Europe must be better positioned to respond than during Trump’s first term

The sports-car maker delivered 279,449 cars last year, down from 310,718 in 2024.