Novice collectors should focus their investing efforts on what brings them happiness amid wider economic uncertainty and unpredictable returns, according to Knight Frank’s Luxury Investment Index, released Tuesday.
The index—which tracks 10 luxury collectibles: art, watches, jewellery, coins, wine, classic cars, coloured diamonds, handbags, furniture, and rare whisky—found that as a whole, the value of these collectibles rose 7% in the 12 months to the end of June.
While that outpaces the returns on some other assets, including prime property in central London (down 1% over the same time), the FTSE 100 Index (up by 5%), and gold (up 1%), it was the weakest annual performance for collectibles since the second quarter of 2021, Knight Frank said.
“Economic uncertainty and higher interest rates will cast a long shadow on luxury collectibles,” said Knight Frank’s Andrew Shirley, editor of the index. “Novice collectors should focus on what brings them joy, perhaps that’s more important now that value appreciation is far from guaranteed in these asset classes.”
Art topped the index by a long shot, growing in value by 30% in the year through the end of June, according to Art Market Research’s (AMR) All Art index, which uses data from auction sales worldwide.
However, those gains may have already peaked.
“The auction season’s spring sales are the first measure of market confidence and recent results suggest growth is already starting to slow,” AMR’s Sebastien Duthy said.
Following art, watches (10%), and jewellery (10%) rounded out the top-three best-performing collectibles of the past year.
Rare bottles of whisky were the only asset in the index to see values drop in the short term—down 4%—but collectible tipples ranked as the strongest 10-year performer, with prices rising 322% over the last decade.
“Bottles of rare whisky have had a far more sedate time from a performance perspective over the past three years,” industry consultant Andy Simpson, of Rare Whisky 101, said in the report. “Higher value (more than £5,000 (US$6,370)) bottles have re-traced recently due to a myriad of geo-political, social, and economic reasons.”
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Tech investor was one of the most outspoken supporters of Trump in Silicon Valley
President-elect Donald Trump named a Silicon Valley investor close to Elon Musk as the White House’s artificial intelligence and cryptocurrency policy chief, signaling the growing influence of tech leaders and loyalists in the new administration .
David Sacks , a former PayPal executive, will serve as the “White House A.I. & Crypto Czar,” Trump said on his social-media platform Truth Social.
“In this important role, David will guide policy for the Administration in Artificial Intelligence and Cryptocurrency, two areas critical to the future of American competitiveness,” he posted.
Musk and Vice President-elect JD Vance chimed in with congratulatory messages on X.
Sacks was one of the first vocal supporters of Trump in Silicon Valley, a region that typically leans Democratic. He hosted a fundraiser for Trump in San Francisco in June that raised more than $12 million for Trump’s campaign. Sacks often used his “All-In” podcast to broadcast his support for the Republican’s cause.
The fundraiser drew several cryptocurrency executives and tech investors. Some attendees were concerned that America could lose its competitiveness in emerging areas such as artificial intelligence because of overregulation.
Many tech leaders had hoped the next president would have a friendlier stance on cryptocurrencies, which had come under scrutiny during the Biden administration.
“What the crypto industry has been asking for more than anything else is a clear legal framework to operate under. If Trump wins, the industry will get this, and more innovation will happen in the U.S.,” Sacks posted on X in July.
The tech industry has also pressed for friendlier federal policies around AI and successfully lobbied to quash a California AI bill industry leaders said would kill innovation.
Sacks’ venture-capital firm, Craft Ventures, has invested in crypto and AI startups. Sacks himself has led investment rounds in many. He has previously invested in companies such as Slack, SpaceX, Uber and Facebook.
Sacks was the former chief operating officer of PayPal, whose founders included Musk and Peter Thiel . The group, called the “PayPal mafia,” has been front and center this election because of its financial muscle and influence in drumming up support for Trump.