Returns might improve, but the power of chaebols—including Samsung and Hyundai—will limit gains
3 min
South Korea is taking a page from Japan to boost its stock market. There are certainly some low-hanging fruits to pick, but the country’s large family-controlled corporate empires, known as chaebols, could be an obstacle to more meaningful structural change.
The country’s stock exchange is set to unveil a stock index that will take into account factors such as profitability and shareholder returns. That is modelled after a similar move taken in 2014 by Japan, which uses its new index to essentially name and shame companies that failed to make the grade.
The new index is just a part of Korea’s “corporate value-up” program announced in February, aiming to boost the valuations of its market with shareholder-friendly policies. The government also proposed making changes to the tax code to encourage companies to pay more dividends. More broadly, South Korea hopes to copy the success of Japan’s drive to improve corporate governance and returns to investors.
Buybacks and dividends in Japan have risen, and shareholders have grown more vocal. Companies also are unloading their nonstrategic shareholdings in other companies, slimming down their balance sheets.
As a result, Japan has been one of the best-performing markets in the world in recent years. The Topix index hit a record high in July, nearly 35 years after its famous bubble burst.
On the other hand, South Korea’s stock market has long suffered from a so-called Korea discount , as it trades more cheaply than other emerging markets. Its main benchmark, Kospi Composite index, has been valued at an average 12 times forward earnings in the past decade, compared with around 15 times for Japan’s Topix and Taiwan’s Taiex each.
Japan’s index has gained 40% since the end of 2022, while Taiwan’s has surged 57%. Korea’s, by contrast, has gone up only 16% over the same period.
Similar to their counterparts in Japan, Korean companies haven’t historically been willing to return much capital to shareholders. The dividend yield on the Kospi is below 2%, which is lower than many markets. Buybacks are paltry and, more important, many Korean companies don’t cancel the shares they have bought back, instead keeping them as treasury shares, using that as a tool for major shareholders to keep control of the company.
On that front, there seems to be some progress. Treasury share cancellation, excluding Samsung Electronics , so far this year has already more than doubled the full-year level of 2023, according to Goldman Sachs . New regulations restricting how companies can use their treasury shares is probably one reason. Financial companies, in particular, have been eager to buy back and cancel their shares.
The elephant in the room, however, is the power of chaebols, which dominate Korea’s economy and stock market. Companies in the Samsung group, for example, make up more than 20% of the Kospi index. Besides the electronics brand, this includes companies in areas as disparate as financial services and shipbuilding. The interests of the families who control these vast corporate empires don’t usually align with those of the minority shareholders.
Instead, they have long used convoluted corporate structures, including extensive cross-shareholdings, to maintain their grip on the conglomerates. Given the chaebols’ strong economic and political influence in the country, they won’t be so easily pressured as Japanese companies have been to unwind these arrangements.
High inheritance taxes are another reason the families might not necessarily want high share prices for their companies. The government has proposed reducing the tax, but it might not be enough.
Korea’ stock market, which houses some of the world’s best-known brands, including Samsung and Hyundai Motor , has long been a laggard. The government’s new push might yield some successes, but its biggest companies could remain the toughest nuts to crack.
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Gold miners are emerging as a compelling way to navigate market uncertainty, with analysts pointing to strong cash flows, attractive valuations and rising profit margins. As gold prices stabilize above US$4,000 an ounce, mining stocks could offer investors both downside protection and long-term upside.
3 min
Gold is one of the market’s go-to hedges in rocky times. Don’t forget that gold miners’ stocks are too.
The stock market’s gains in 2026 belie the rocky macroeconomic picture: elevated inflation, heightened geopolitical tensions, and jitters about the artificial-intelligence trade. That backdrop, in theory, should be the time for gold to shine. Instead, the price of the yellow metal has tumbled more than 5% so far, after last year’s blistering 65% rally. In part, the U.S. dollar’s recovery has stymied gold, which benefited from the greenback’s weakness in 2025.
Even with the precious metal’s recent weakness, gold mining stocks could be the best way to profit from this year’s uncertainty.
Gold miners “are a valuable hedge against macro risks that would likely be damaging for equities,” BCA Research’s Noah Weisberger and Rishabh Shah wrote this week.
Concerns about the Federal Reserve’s next moves to tackle inflation, the increasingly crowded AI trade, and steep valuations for tech stocks are just some of the drivers that could help gold’s price get on even footing— and lead to even bigger gains for miner stocks.
These stocks’ prices tend to outpace gold’s moves, because the companies have fixed operational costs. So when gold’s price rallies, their profit margins soar, and vice versa. For instance, the VanEck Gold Miners GDX +7.39% exchange-traded fund has fallen 11% this year as the metal has slumped.
Now, gold’s price just needs to stabilize to help miners’ stocks take off, and that seems to be happening. The precious metal has recently found support above the $4,000 level, and has stuck in a narrow range since the end of June. But its price rose ever so slightly in July, ending a four-month losing streak for the metal. Technical analysis also suggests that gold is due for a comeback.
Barron’s recently wrote that the pullbacks for both gold miners and the metal itself are overdone. Senior technical analyst Doug Busch noted that the VanEck ETF is on the “verge of a breakout” and has the potential to hit $11o in early 2027, up more than 40% from its current price.
Gold miners also have more than their role as a market hedge going for them. Their fundamentals are solid, too, says Chris Mancini, portfolio co-manager of the Gabelli Gold Fund.
“Precious metals miners are generating substantial amounts of free cash flow given profit margins of over $2,000 per ounce, and are returning this cash to shareholders through buybacks and dividends,” he said in an email.
“Buying the miners is a cheap way to get exposure to the price of gold,” he added. His fund owns Newmont NEM +6.71%, a Barron’s stock pick last year, and Agnico Eagle Mines as top holdings, as well as miners Northern Star Resources, Endeavour Mining, and Kinross Gold K+8.59%.
Miners are better businesses than they used to be, the BCA team added.
“Capex is more disciplined, margins are high and rising…and they are largely independent of the AI story,” Weisberger, BCA’s head of equities, and Shah, a senior analyst, wrote.
That last part is key. AI is disrupting the software industry and many other services and information-oriented businesses, and investors have piled into AI stocks. But ChatGPT, Claude, Grok, and other large-language models aren’t going to replace the need to mine for metals.
“Equity portfolios can benefit from exposure to quality that is uncorrelated to AI risk, and gold miners fit the bill,” the BCA team said.
They recommend that investors buy the VanEck Gold Miners ETF, which owns top miners such as Agnico, Barrick Mining ABX +7.24%, and Newmont.
An important bonus for big gold miners’ stocks is that their valuations are attractive after the gold’s pullback, too. The VanEck ETF is now trading at just a little more than nine times next year’s earnings estimates. That’s a big discount to its five-year average price-to-earnings ratio of 14, according to FactSet.
What’s more, the ETF is currently valued at a more than 50% discount to the S&P 500 SPX -0.17%, which is trading for about 19 times earnings estimates for 2027. Mining stocks have typically traded at just a 25% discount to the broader market over the past five years. So there is significant upside for the group if valuations move back toward normal levels.
One factor that complicates mining stocks as a market hedge, of course, is if stocks bounce back, which has been the case so far in August.
But both the market and economic outlooks remain cloudy, and investors remain nervous about the Fed’s next moves and AI stocks. Gold miners should do just fine, even if the anxious mood on Wall Street persists.
