A question for wealthy folks with homes, businesses, and family members all over the world is where to park their assets.
3 min
Ultra-rich families have often run their wealth from a single-family office located where their business exists, or their money was made, and where most members of their family live. But the dynamics for many of these families has radically changed as their businesses, homes, and children spread across the world, according to a report from Citi Private Bank.
Dealing with multiple jurisdictions creates possibilities but also complexities and raises a question for families of where the bulk of their assets should reside, as the bank details in the report, titled Asset Location and Global Mobility. Citi, through its global family office group, works with 1,800 family offices with an average net worth of US$2 billion, says Hannes Hofmann, head of the group.
“A lot more families are now saying, ‘how do you professionalize the decision where these assets are sitting?’” Hofmann says.
Citi’s family office clients are very global. In a survey published last week, 71% of the bank’s clients reported that they were international in some way. Of that group, 53% said they have assets in multiple countries; 44% cited having family members in several countries; and 19% said they have family who are considering a move to another country or changing their citizenship.
Potential changes to tax regulations affecting the wealthy resulting from elections in the U.K. and France in Europe, and several countries in Latin America, could spark further globalisation of the world’s wealthiest families, the survey said.
In selecting a location for a family office, Citi recommends considering four criteria: the stability of the country’s financial, economic, and political systems; its financial and legal infrastructure; access to talent and cost considerations; and convenience, “including where family members live, work, and play,” the report said.
“We’re telling everyone: As you think about your asset strategy, you want safety that there’s a rule of law and there’s also a financial system that will protect your assets if things go wrong,” Hofmann says. “We might assume this is something that you get everywhere in the world, but the truth is you don’t.”
Strong financial and legal infrastructure also ensures families can find informed advisors and that regulations are secure, supporting, for instance, the movement of assets across jurisdictions.
The purpose of Citi’s report is to show how the four criteria are interlinked, Hofmann says. It may make sense to place a family office in a major wealth centre such as the U.S., Switzerland, or Singapore, but assets can also be kept in jurisdictions such as Jersey in the Channel Islands, or Luxembourg, Monaco, and Dubai.
The report details key factors in each of these places. Monaco, for instance, is less than a square mile in size but “has for centuries attracted the wealthiest families in the world given its favorable tax system, robust, if limited economy, safety, advanced medical facilities, and agreeable Mediterranean climate,” Citi said.
The Bahamas, meanwhile, is a politically and economically stable country just off of Florida’s east coast, making it convenient to the U.S., Canada, and Central and South America.
The U.S., meanwhile, accounts for 32% of global liquid investable wealth, and attracts ultra wealthy individuals with its “almost unrivalled breadth of education, lifestyle, business, innovation, and investing opportunities.”
“People need to think about these places and where they want to have their assets, where they want to base their residency, and then of course, what potentially their exit strategies and contingency plans are,” Hofmann says. The latter is important for a world facing rising instability and conflict.
For those who don’t have a plan in place yet, the report offers several locations where golden visas and residency programs offer a path to a backup location, such as Spain, Malta, St. Kitts and Nevis, and New Zealand. Most of these are countries where the wealthy already have connections through education or business interests, the report said.
Some of these jurisdictions don’t have tax regimes or their tax regulations don’t apply for short stays. As a result, people are choosing to become “tax nomads”—dividing their time between countries so they don’t spend long enough in one place to be taxed.
“There are some very wealthy people [who] we work with and some very wealthy families who’ve taken this global location topic to an art form,” Hofmann says.
“A lot of people want to be in L.A. or Miami or New York and London, so you can spend a third of the year in the U.K. and the U.S. and then the remainder of the year you spend in other places and you’re not a tax resident anywhere for tax purposes,” he says.
This strategy is “completely legal,” Hofmann adds. “This is not tax avoidance, it’s just tax management.”
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4 min
U.S. investors’ enthusiasm over Japanese stocks at this time last year turned out to be misplaced, but the market is again on the list of potential ways to diversify. Corporate shake-ups, hints of inflation after years of declining prices, and a trade battle could work in its favor.
Japanese stocks started 2024 off strong, but an unexpected interest-rate increase in August by the Bank of Japan triggered a sharp decline that the market has spent the rest of the year clawing back. Weakness in the yen has cut into returns in dollar terms. The iShares MSCI Japan ETF , which isn’t hedged, barely returned 7% last year, compared with 30% for the WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund .
The market is relatively cheap, trading at 15 times forward earnings, about where it was a decade ago, and events on the horizon could give it a boost. Masakazu Takeda, who runs the Hennessy Japan fund, expects earnings growth of mid-single digits—2% after inflation and an additional 2% to 3% as companies return more to shareholders through dividends and buybacks.
“We can easily get 10% plus returns if there’s no exogenous risks,” Takeda told Barron’s in December.
The first couple months of the year could be volatile as investors assess potential spoilers, such as whether the new Trump administration limits its tariff battle to China or goes wider, which would hurt Japan’s export-dependent market. The size of the wage increases labor unions secure in spring negotiations is another risk.
But beyond the headlines, fund managers and strategists see potential positive factors. First, 2024 will likely turn out to have been a record year for corporate earnings because some companies have benefited from rising prices and increasing demand, as well as better capital allocation.
In a note to clients, BofA strategist Masashi Akutsu said the market may again focus on a shift in corporate behavior that has begun to take place in recent years. For years, corporate culture has been resistant to change but recent developments—a battle over Seven & i Holdings that pits the founding family and investors against a bid from Canada’s Alimentation Couche-Tard , and Honda and Nissan ’s merger are examples—have been a wake-up call for Japanese companies to pursue overhauls. He expects a pickup in share buybacks as companies begin to think about shareholder returns more.
A record number of companies have also delisted, often through management buyouts, in another indication that corporate behavior is changing in favor of shareholders.
“Japan is attracting a lot of activist interest in a lot of different guises, says Donald Farquharson, head of the Japanese equities team for Baillie Gifford. “While shareholder proposals are usually unsuccessful, they do start in motion a process behind the scenes about the capital structure.”
For years, money-losing businesses were left alone in large corporations, but the recent spate of activism and focus on shareholder returns has pushed companies to jettison such divisions or take measures to improve them.
That isn‘t to say it is going to be an easy year. A more protectionist world could be problematic for sentiment.
But Japan’s approach could become a model for others in this new world. “Japan has spent the last 30 to 40 years investing in business overseas, with the automotive industry, for example, manufacturing a lot of the cars in the geographies it sells in,” Farquharson said. “That’s true of a lot of what Japan is selling overseas.”
Trade volatility that hits Japanese stocks broadly could offer opportunities. Concerns about tariffs could drag down companies such as Tokio Marine Holdings, which gets half its earnings by selling insurance in the U.S., but wouldn’t be affected by duties. Similarly, Shin-Etsu Chemicals , a silicon wafer behemoth that sells critical materials, including to the chip industry, is another potential winner, Takeda says.
If other companies follow the lead of Japanese exporters and set up shop in the markets they sell in, Japanese automation makers like Nidec and Keyence might benefit as a way to control costs in countries where wages are higher, Farquharson says.
And as Japanese workers get real wage growth and settle into living in an economy no longer in a deflationary rut, companies focused on domestic consumers such as Rakuten Group should benefit. The internet company offers retail and travel, both of which should benefit, but also is home to an online banking and investment platform.
Rakuten’s enterprise value—its market capitalization plus debt—is still less than its annual sales, in part because the company had been investing heavily in its mobile network. But that division is about to hit break even, Farquharson says.
A stock that stands to benefit from consumer spending and the waves or tourists the weak yen is attracting is Orix , a conglomerate whose businesses include an international airport serving Osaka. The company’s aircraft-leasing business also benefits from the production snags and supply-chain disruptions at Airbus and Boeing , Takeda says.
An added benefit: Its financial businesses stand to get a boost as the Bank of Japan slowly normalizes interest rates. The stock trades at about nine times earnings and about par for book value, while paying a 4% dividend yield.
Corrections & Amplifications: The past year is expected to turn out to have been a record one for corporate earnings in Japan. An earlier version of this article incorrectly gave the time frame as the 12 months through March. Separately, Masashi Akutsu is a strategist at BofA. An earlier version incorrectly identified his employer as UBS.
