Bank of Japan Raises Rate, Halts Emergency Policies - Kanebridge News
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Bank of Japan Raises Rate, Halts Emergency Policies

Central bank says stable inflation is in sight and ends unconventional asset purchases

By MEGUMI FUJIKAWA
Thu, Mar 21, 2024 9:31amGrey Clock 3 min

TOKYO—The Bank of Japan on Tuesday ended negative interest rates after eight years and unwound most of its unorthodox monetary easing policies, saying a new era of stable inflation is in sight in Japan.

The decision marks the end of a global era of negative interest rates that began in the 2010s. Other central banks that  had introduced negative rates  in the 2010s, including the  European Central Bank  and the  Swiss National Bank , have already moved back into positive territory amid inflation triggered by the Covid-19 pandemic and the war in Ukraine.

For a generation, the Japanese central bank served as a laboratory for monetary-policy experimentation as it addressed the country’s chronic stagnation, which was marked by flat or falling prices.

On Tuesday, BOJ Gov. Kazuo Ueda said those policies have fulfilled their roles and the principal ones will be ended. The Bank of Japan is moving its key target for short-term rates to a range of 0% to 0.1%, its first rate increase since 2007.

Ueda said the move was justified by steadily rising wages and prices in Japan. The central bank “judged that sustainable and stable achievement of our 2% inflation goal has come into sight,” he said.

The BOJ said it removed a target for the yield on 10-year Japanese government bonds. And it is halting its purchases of assets such as stocks, real-estate investment trusts and corporate bonds that don’t typically go onto the books of central banks. The Bank of Japan has amassed the equivalent of hundreds of billions of dollars in such assets since the global financial crisis of 2008-09.

Market reaction was restrained because Bank of Japan officials had telegraphed their intentions. The Nikkei Stock Average closed up 0.7%, while the yen was down.

The Bank of Japan, which  had maintained a negative policy rate  since 2016, said it would continue buying government bonds.

“Accommodative financial conditions will likely continue, and these accommodative financial conditions will firmly support the economy and prices,” Ueda said at a news conference. He said he didn’t expect to raise interest rates rapidly.

Prime Minister Fumio Kishida welcomed the continuation of easy money, saying it was too soon to declare an end to deflation.

The BOJ had already begun to ease away from its unconventional policies. In September 2016, it set a target of around zero for the yield on 10-year government bonds. After initially enforcing that target strictly, the bank last year  loosened its control , allowing the yield to move higher amid a surge in global bond yields. As of late Tuesday, the 10-year yield was 0.725%.

The Bank of Japan’s move to restore traditional monetary policy tools is one example of how Japan’s economy has recently reverted to conditions not seen in more than three decades.

In February, the  Nikkei Stock Average hit a record  for the first time in 34 years. Japan’s largest labor union said last week that major companies are planning to  raise pay by an average of 5.28%  this year, the largest increase since 1991.

However, the Bank of Japan’s economic assessment pointed to some warning signs. With  China’s economy struggling recently , the BOJ said Japan’s economy “is expected to be under downward pressure stemming from a slowdown in the pace of recovery in overseas economies.”

Two of the BOJ’s nine-member policy board dissented from the decision to end negative rates, saying the economy’s recovery was too fragile to allow for a rate increase.

Katsutoshi Inadome, senior strategist at SuMi Trust, said the BOJ probably saw a window to act after the recent good news on wages, but he said there was a chance Tuesday’s rate increase was premature.

“In a textbook approach, this is timing the bank would have done better to avoid,” Inadome said. He pointed to sluggish consumption in Japan, which Ueda acknowledged as a risk.

Ueda said if the economy received shocks in the future, the central bank would consider using policy tools it has used previously.

“The Bank of Japan is unlikely to make additional rate increases because there will gradually appear more headwinds such as the lack of strength in prices,” said Mizuho Securities chief market economist Yasunari Ueno.



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AI-powered travel agents are challenging online booking platforms, but Airbnb’s exclusive listings and direct customer relationships could give it an edge. Its next challenge: turning repeat guests into loyal customers through stronger rewards and innovation.

By David Wainer
Tue, Oct 13, 2026 3 min

AI agents like Muse can already find you the cheapest hotel room in Paris. But they can’t locate a cheaper version of that Catskills cabin you’ve been eyeing, because it might only be available on Airbnb ABNB -1.43%decrease.

Investors should pay attention to that distinction. When Meta Platforms META 3.38%increase launched its Muse agent last month, travel stocks including Booking Holdings BKNG -1.19%decrease, Expedia and Airbnb all fell sharply.

Airbnb, though, has a real chance to emerge as a winner from the upheaval. The catch: Its stock already reflects above-industry growth. To justify its valuation, Airbnb will need to turn repeat customers into loyal ones.

Online travel companies make much of their money by simplifying search and collecting fees on bookings. AI agents threaten that model.

But not all travel marketplaces are equally exposed. Booking and Expedia largely sell hotel rooms that travelers can also book directly or through competing sites. If an agent can find the same room elsewhere, it has little reason to favor either Booking or Expedia.

Booking and Expedia also sell sponsored listings that steer travelers toward particular properties. Wells Fargo estimates those will account for about 8% of Expedia’s revenue and a much higher percentage of profit next year.

Airbnb has more ways to adapt. More than half its listings are available only on its platform, and more than 90% of its traffic comes directly to its app or website.

The customer relationship doesn’t end after booking, either. Bernstein analyst Richard Clarke notes that 90% of Airbnb guests go on to message their hosts about arrival times, keys or local taxes, giving Airbnb a connection to both sides of the transaction.

How the companies have responded to the possible agentic future is telling.

Expedia quickly signed on as a Muse partner. Airbnb hasn’t, and Chief Executive Brian Chesky says AI chatbots have so far been a boon, sending customers to Airbnb’s website.

Chatbots might work for buying paper towels, he quipped at a Skift conference last month, but people enjoy planning trips. He argued that browsing dozens of homes isn’t something a text-based chatbot is well suited for.

Still, the AI jitters arrived just as Airbnb was persuading investors it deserved its pricey multiple. For years after its 2020 initial public offering, the stock—which trades around 25 to 30 times forward earnings—went nowhere. Investors saw a mature operator trading at a growth premium.

This year, Airbnb growth seems to be accelerating. The stock jumped in August after the company raised its full-year revenue-growth guidance with its second-quarter results. Wells Fargo analyst Ken Gawrelski credits a run of product improvements under a revamped leadership team.

Among the changes: letting guests reserve now and pay later, adding hotels, and a redesigned home page and app. Investors were also betting on what comes next, including thousands more hotels, car rentals and, eventually, advertising.

The irony is that some of those growth drivers push Airbnb closer to the kind of business Booking and Expedia run—the kind of business AI agents could threaten. Even if AI agents capture a large share of travel planning and booking, Airbnb would capture the demand. But it and others would slowly lose control over how customers find and choose properties.

That would undermine the advertising opportunity investors are counting on. The bigger point for Airbnb and other marketplaces is that losing control of customer acquisition could mean surrendering some of their pricing power and margins.

To bulletproof itself, Airbnb might look to another e-commerce giant that has so far kept AI agents at arm’s length: Amazon.

Like Amazon, Airbnb has a loyal customer base and hard-to-match supply. But it has nothing like Prime membership to make customers think twice before taking their business elsewhere.

That is where loyalty comes in. Business travelers stick with Hilton or Marriott because enough nights earn them perks. Leisure travelers rarely accumulate stays with one chain. Airbnb has millions of listings and plenty of repeat customers, but no broad rewards program. It has begun experimenting with credits on hotel stays, but it should make loyalty a priority, not just a promotion.

Airbnb also plans to launch its own AI agent next year. But travelers using an agent might still want it to search Airbnb, Vrbo, Booking and hotel websites alike, rather than limit itself to one company’s inventory.

Eventually, Airbnb might have to strike deals with agent makers, using its unique homes as leverage to negotiate favorable terms, says Gawrelski. Such deals, along with rewards for loyal guests, could over the long term eat into the company’s roughly 13% take rate, he adds. But if they bring in enough additional bookings, the trade-off could be worthwhile.

History offers a reason not to panic. The shift from desktop to mobile unsettled investors in Alphabet and Amazon, but both emerged as major beneficiaries. Companies with valuable assets can come out of a platform shift stronger, if they adapt quickly enough.

Airbnb has homes the bots can’t easily replace. Now it needs to give guests a reason to insist on booking them there.