China Says It Started Year on Strong Economic Footing as Trump Tariffs Hit

SINGAPORE—China reported surprisingly robust economic activity to start the year, giving Beijing some wind at its back as it faces the prospect of increased tensions with President Trump’s second administration.

Retail sales, a measure of consumer spending in China, accelerated, and investment and industrial production grew more than expected, though unemployment rose to a two-year high, and the beleaguered property market remained under pressure, according to official data.

The numbers come a day after Beijing released a policy plan to expand domestic consumption, including raising wages, increasing pensions and creating incentives for childbirth . The plan was the latest acknowledgment of the urgency in Beijing to find alternatives to export-led growth, but was light on specifics, such as whether new funding would be allocated to its policies, or how local governments would implement the proposed measures.

China earlier this month set an ambitious growth target of about 5% for 2025 and pledged to step up spending and boost domestic demand to stimulate a sluggish economy that is threatened by an escalating trade war with the U.S. The 5% growth target, unchanged from a year earlier, projected a sense of continuity as the Trump administration upends long-held assumptions about the global economic order .

In the two months since his return to office, Trump has put an additional 20% tariff on all Chinese goods and imposed an extra 25% duty on steel and aluminum imports.

China reported weaker-than-expected growth in the export sector to start 2025, which was a key engine of China’s economy last year—and which stands to take a hit as tariff barriers rise around the world. China also recently reported a drop in consumer prices for the first time in a year, a reflection of a larger disinflationary environment that has prompted Chinese leaders to call for more spending by households and businesses. Loans and credit data for February also came in below expectations.

On Monday, China said retail sales in the first two months of the year increased 4% from the same period a year earlier, up from December’s 3.7% year-over-year growth, according to figures published by China’s National Bureau of Statistics. China combines January and February data each year to iron out distortions brought by the shifting timing of the Lunar New Year holiday.

Chinese leaders have identified boosting domestic consumption as their top policy priority for 2025, a move that economists say has become critical as Trump administration tariffs hinder Beijing’s ability to rely on exports to boost growth.

China said industrial production in January and February rose 5.9% from a year earlier, more than economists’ expectations for a 5.4% increase but down from the 6.2% year-over-year gain in December.

Production of new energy vehicles, which includes electric vehicles, 3-D printing equipment and industrial robots jumped 48%, 30%, and 27% year-over-year, respectively, according to the data. Investment in buildings, equipment and other fixed assets rose 4.1% for the same period compared with a year prior.

The real-estate sector, a sore spot in China’s economy, continued to struggle. Property investment fell 9.8% year over year during the first two months of the year. New construction starts dropped by about 30% from the year prior.

Many economists say a sustained recovery in China’s property market is essential to repairing consumer sentiment and increasing spending, given how important real estate is to household wealth levels in the country.

China’s headline measure of joblessness, the urban unemployment rate, rose to 5.4% in February, its highest level since February 2023, up from 5.2% in January and 5.1% in December, according to the data. The metric isn’t seasonally adjusted.