Buyers paid €51,418 per square metre in the city-state, which only grew in popularity during the pandemic
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Monaco’s prime real estate market remained strong despite global macroeconomic challenges and became the most expensive prime property market in 2023, according to a report Monday from Savills.
The price per square metre in the principality may have grown just 0.9% during 2023, but that increase, however slight, left the average price per square metre at €51,418 (US$55,852).
In comparison, the price per square metre was €39,100 in Hong Kong, €25,300 in New York, €18,900 in London and €8,400 in Dubai.
There were 416 transactions across the principality in 2023, which represented a decline of nearly one-fifth compared to the previous year. However, the total transaction value declined by a smaller amount than the number of transactions, which indicated that fewer but higher value transactions were recorded in 2023.
In examining the total sales by price point, the proportion of apartments selling for more than €5 million increased 2% in 2023, while the share of apartments sold priced below that same threshold fell by an equal amount, according to the report.
Interest in Monaco has risen since the pandemic, contributing to space constraint issues in the principality. Residence card applications also now require a property’s size to match the intended occupying family’s size, which has resulted in greater scrutiny, Savills said.
In response to this rule, many new-build projects are offering larger apartments. The sales of more spacious apartments with three or more bedrooms accounted for over 60% of new-build sales and 22% of the resales across the principality in 2023.
“The number of resales in Monaco has returned to pre-pandemic levels, and this rebound has largely been driven by the increase in sales of larger apartments,” Kelcie Sellers, associate director of world research at Savills, said in the report.
Potential buyers don’t just want to live in Monaco. They are very specific when it comes to choosing a particular district or even development. Together, Monte Carlo and La Rousse comprise over 40% of the total housing area in the principality, yet they accounted for more than 60% of resale transactions in 2023.
In fact, the mean price for resales increased to an all-time high in five out of seven Monaco districts in 2023. Jardin Exotique and La Condamine saw the highest price-per-square-metre growth of 19% and 22%, respectively. Larvotto maintained the top spot for most expensive district by square meter, according to the report.
In an effort to meet the high demand for real estate in this principality, which is smaller than New York’s Central Park, construction projects are in progress. Two large communities are expected to launch this year: Mareterra and Bay House Monaco. These projects will add a combined 166 new apartments and 15 villas to the Monaco market.
Prospective buyers around the world are approaching the current market with caution as they wait to see how macroeconomics, inflation and interest rates play out. However, as Monaco offers somewhat of a safe haven, it may attract buyers who would have purchased property elsewhere, which would continue to drive demand in the coming months, Savills said.
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The US housing market remains under pressure as high mortgage rates continue to weigh on affordability and demand. Industry leaders say 2026 has been one of the toughest years for home sales, with slower price growth, weaker mortgage activity, and fewer buyers entering the market. However, experts say reduced competition and more price cuts could create opportunities for well-prepared buyers.
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The typically busy spring season for the housing market was a dud, and the summer isn’t looking much brighter.
Housing services companies like Zillow Group and Rocket RKT +3.78% were loud and clear last week on earnings calls: Rocket CEO Varun Krishna called the quarter through June “one of the toughest spring housing markets in years.”
Jeremy Hofmann, Zillow’s chief financial officer, said on a conference call that the company predicted earlier this year that the market for mortgages would be flat. “We actually now think it’s going to be down low-to-mid-single digits,” he said.
The rest of 2026 will remain challenging for mortgage origination volume, says KBW analyst Bose George. The question now is what happens in 2027. “If mortgage rates remain [around] 6.75%, I think that’s going to be challenging even for next year,” he says.
But what’s bad news for mortgage companies could be a positive for bargain hunters. Buyers can expect prices to grow more slowly—or mildly decline—with less competition as long as mortgage rates remain unpredictable.
Mortgage rates at the beginning of the year were solidly below year-ago levels, notes Zillow senior economist Kara Ng. But they surpassed last year’s levels recently, she adds, referencing Freddie Mac’s weekly survey of 30-year fixed mortgage rates. Last week’s reading, at 6.69%, was higher than year-ago levels for the first time in 2026.
“From the affordability point of view, it’s going to get more challenging in the second half of the year,” she says. “And when affordability gets more challenging, that impacts sales and home price appreciation.”
Mortgage application data tracked by the Mortgage Bankers Association has cooled since the beginning of the year. The trade group expects that the number of mortgage originations in the remaining two quarters will lag behind last year’s levels, after exceeding 2025 levels in the first half.
Rocket’s early-stage data—which the company told Barron’s it derives from its brokerage Redfin, demand for its mortgage products, and signs in its servicing portfolio that a homeowner is preparing to refinance or move—“leads us to expect the third quarter mortgage market to be smaller than the second,” Chief Financial Officer Brian Brown, said on the company’s call. He added that such an occurrence is “something the industry has not seen since 2022.”
Prices will be about flat nationally, Ng says. Zillow’s most recent forecast, which shows how values are expected to change in the year ending June 2027, show them dropping in roughly half of the 100 largest U.S. metros for which data is available.
Buyers aren’t rushing in at a time when mortgage costs are rising and unpredictable. But those with the right combination of patience and cash could stand to benefit. “If you are financially qualified to buy a starter home, you are facing less competition and you’re more likely to get a price cut,” Ng says.
