Why Apple Stock Just Got Downgraded to Sell

Apple AAPL -1.53% stock was downgraded by a major Wall Street firm on Monday, as an analyst predicted that a radical iPhone redesign has been scrapped.

Jefferies analyst Edison Lee cut his rating on Apple to Underperform—generally graded as a moderate Sell rating—from Hold. He also slashed his price target to $263.66 from $285.56, placing it among the lowest on Wall Street.

The downgrade hinges on the suspected cancellation of Apple’s all-glass iPhone. Although the project was reported to be in development as far back as 2025 and rumored to launch as early as 2027, Apple never commented on the speculation. However, the company quietly filed a patent application for a “six-sided glass enclosure” in 2019.

While Jefferies once viewed the release of an all-glass iPhone as plausible, Lee believes development has come to a halt. According to the analyst, supply-chain checks suggest the project was canceled due to “poor production yield.” This refers to the percentage of defect-free units successfully generated during manufacturing.

Lee views the decision as “a major setback to efforts to bring in higher-priced iPhones amid soaring memory costs.” Had it launched in September 2027 to commemorate the iPhone’s 20th anniversary, the device would have carried an estimated blended retail price of $2,060—higher than the average price of any previous model.

“More importantly, we believe the plan was to extend the all-glass features to future iPhone Pro and Pro Max models, further raising their average selling price and margin,” Lee wrote. He believes an all-glass model would have been a crucial defense against soaring memory costs, warning that Apple otherwise faces lower prices for years to come.

In the same breath, the analyst provided a conservative outlook on both Apple’s AI strategy and component costs for the iPhone 19 Pro Max, which is slated for release in 2027. Other supply-chain checks suggest that Apple is considering an upgrade for the iPhone 19 Pro Max, potentially increasing its memory to 16 gigabytes from 12 gigabytes.

In Lee’s view, the slow rollout of Apple Intelligence makes it difficult for Apple to justify the expense of equipping its phones with more memory. Extra RAM is needed to run complex AI models directly on a device.

Apple shares dropped 1.5% on Monday as the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite COMP -0.32% index fell 0.3%. Heading into the session, Apple had gained over 15% in 2026, marginally outperforming the index.

The stock’s momentum stalled last month when underwhelming fiscal third-quarter earnings triggered a selloff that erased $359 billion in market capitalization, allowing Nvidia NVDA -2.86% to overtake Apple as the world’s most valuable company.

Lee isn’t the only analyst to sour on Apple stock in recent weeks. KeyBanc analyst Brandon Nispel downgraded shares to Underweight from Sector Weight in July, arguing that Apple’s growth was beginning to stall following a boost in 2025. Sluggish iPhone sales could drag down other hardware categories, Nispel wrote, making the stock look “too expensive” over time.

Even with this recent shift in sentiment, Wall Street hasn’t lost faith in Apple. Of 51 analysts surveyed by FactSet, 32 rate the stock a Buy or the equivalent. Fourteen maintain a Hold rating, while just five—Lee and Nispel included—have issued a negative opinion on the shares.

California’s attorney general and Paramount PSKY -3.86%decrease; down pointing triangle have discussed a series of potential concessions as part of advanced settlement negotiations, including a $1.5 billion investment by the company in production in California, according to people familiar with the discussions.

Paramount executives and a coalition of states that sued to block its $81 billion merger with Warner Bros. Discovery WBD -1.56%decrease; down pointing triangle spent the weekend hashing out the details of a possible settlement. Such an agreement would clear the way for a deal that would bring HBO, CBS, CNN, streaming services and famed movie studios under one owner.

Among the concessions the parties have discussed beyond the sizable production investment: a promise not to sell either studio lot and to stay in the state of California, the people said. The company had explored moving out of the state as the deal faced opposition.

The parties have also considered potential penalties if Paramount doesn’t make good on an earlier pledge to make 30 movies a year after the merger, including having to sell its stake in Miramax, known for such classic movies as “No Country for Old Men” and “Pulp Fiction,” the people familiar with the matter said.

Other measures the sides have explored include the sale of some cable channels and the creation of a board to ensure that CNN retains editorial independence, people with knowledge of the talks said. The network has been a political flashpoint throughout Paramount CEO David Ellison’s fight for Warner. Paramount had been discussing creating such an editorial board before the lawsuit.

A final deal hasn’t been reached, and it is unclear what terms the parties may ultimately agree to.

Ellison has spent the past year fighting to buy Warner in a megadeal that would expand his entertainment empire, but that has drawn opposition from some political and Hollywood figures.

A dozen Democratic-led states led by California Attorney General Rob Bonta sued in July to block the deal on antitrust grounds, arguing that the combination of Paramount and Warner would create too much concentration in the markets for theatrical films and cable television channels.

The Writers Guild of America sued over the merger, saying that the deal would eliminate jobs and career opportunities for Hollywood screenwriters.

Demonstrators protest a proposed media merger outside the Elihu M. Harris State Office Building in Oakland, Calif. — Demonstrators protested the potential settlement in downtown Oakland on Sunday. Jeff Bercovici/WSJ

About two dozen demonstrators gathered in front of the Elihu M. Harris State Office Building in downtown Oakland on Sunday evening to protest a potential settlement. Holding signs reading “Bonta: Don’t You Dare” and “Block the Megamerger,” they took turns giving speeches urging the attorney general to continue pressing the suit.

“Nothing has changed since he filed the case,” said Annie Leonard, co-founder of the nonprofit Committee for the First Amendment, which advocates for free expression. “He needs to stay as strong as he was in filing it.”

The two sides had come under pressure to settle the matter in recent months, including from California Gov. Gavin Newsom, Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass, gubernatorial candidate Xavier Becerra, movie theater chains and some Hollywood labor unions.

Paramount’s agreement with Warner also included a “ticking fee” with payments to Warner shareholders of roughly $650 million a quarter, or $7 million a day, beginning next month, until the transaction closes.

Paramount had asked a federal judge to require the states and the Writers Guild to put up a nearly $1.9 billion bond for challenging the acquisition, money that would go to the company if it ultimately won the case.