Soaring Travel Costs Are Weighing on Even the Wealthiest Vacationers, WSJ Study Shows

Wealthy individuals remain just as interested in travelling as they were last year, but costs have become a larger factor in their plans, according to a Global Travel Study conducted by WSJ Intelligence between June 27-July 19.

Of the 879 Wall Street Journal readers surveyed—who had an average age of 56, were 79% male, and had an average net worth of about US$3.5 million—94% intend to travel for leisure in the next 12 months, down just 1% from 2023. Additionally, 64% plan to travel internationally, up from last year’s 60%.

Travellers are most concerned about costs amid ongoing inflation and other economic challenges, even as 80% of respondents say they plan to increase or maintain their travel spend compared to last year.

The cost of flights and hotels is the top factor of importance for WSJ readers, with 78% concerned about prices, a nine-point increase from 2023.

“Travel is still on the up—our readers are still really enthusiastic,” says Carolyn Romano, associate director of Luxury Lifestyle Intelligence at The Wall Street Journal. “But at the same time, it’s yet another year of market volatility and inflation, so I just think they’re being a little bit more thoughtful about the way that they’re traveling.”

Availability of flights and hotels is the second-biggest issue for travellers, with 76% of readers responding that it is a factor of importance for them.

Notably, as factors of importance, both loyalty programs and discounts and deals are up 10 percentage points year over year. Romano says this increase is “pretty significant.”

“Our reader approaches every purchase as an investment of some sort, and even our reader is still taking all of these factors into consideration,” she says.

Despite rising costs, the post-Covid enthusiasm for travel remains, with 70% of respondents traveling more than they have in the past. Over the next 12 months, WSJ readers’ average anticipated spend on leisure travel is US$18,305, up from last year’s US$18,250.

As for destinations, 86% of respondents are considering traveling to Europe, down just 1% from last year. Italy is the top European country of choice—superseding the U.K.—seeing a 9% annual increase in interest.

Though most destinations, both international and domestic, included in the survey saw similar interest as last year, traveling to Asia is up 10 points from 2023, with 40% of respondents considering booking a trip to the continent. Japan ranks the highest, with 61% of respondents considering traveling there, up 6% from last year.

When making travel plans, 72% of WSJ readers say they go to family and friends for recommendations. Only 13% report consulting a travel agent, though people taking cruises are much more likely to use a travel agent.

Wildfires in California have grown more frequent and more catastrophic in recent years, and that’s beginning to reflect in home values, according to a report by the San Francisco Fed released Monday.

The effect on home values has grown over time, and does not appear to be offset by access to insurance. However, “being farther from past fires is associated with a boost in home value of about 2% for homes of average value,” the report said.

In the decade between 2010 and 2020, wildfires lashed 715,000 acres per year on average in California, 81% more than the 1990s. At the same time, the fires destroyed more than 10 times as many structures, with over 4,000 per year damaged by fire in the 2010s, compared with 355 in the 1990s, according to data from the United States Department of Agriculture cited by the report.

That was due in part to a number of particularly large and destructive fires in 2017 and 2018, such as the Camp and Tubbs fires, as well the number of homes built in areas vulnerable to wildfires, per the USDA account.

The Camp fire in 2018 was the most damaging in California by a wide margin, destroying over 18,000 structures, though it wasn’t even in the top 20 of the state’s largest fires by acreage. The Mendocino Complex fire earlier that same year was the largest ever at the time, in terms of area, but has since been eclipsed by even larger fires in 2020 and 2021.

As the threat of wildfires becomes more prevalent, the downward effect on home values has increased. The study compared how wildfires impacted home values before and after 2017, and found that in the latter period studied—from 2018 and 2021—homes farther from a recent wildfire earned a premium of roughly $15,000 to $20,000 over similar homes, about $10,000 more than prior to 2017.

The effect was especially pronounced in the mountainous areas around Los Angeles and the Sierra Nevada mountains, since they were closer to where wildfires burned, per the report.

The study also checked whether insurance was enough to offset the hit to values, but found its effect negligible. That was true for both public and private insurance options, even though private options provide broader coverage than the state’s FAIR Plan, which acts as an insurer of last resort and provides coverage for the structure only, not its contents or other types of damages covered by typical homeowners insurance.

“While having insurance can help mitigate some of the costs associated with fire episodes, our results suggest that insurance does little to improve the adverse effects on property values,” the report said.

While wildfires affect homes across the spectrum of values, many luxury homes in California tend to be located in areas particularly vulnerable to the threat of fire.

“From my experience, the high-end homes tend to be up in the hills,” said Ari Weintrub, a real estate agent with Sotheby’s in Los Angeles. “It’s up and removed from down below.”

That puts them in exposed, vegetated areas where brush or forest fires are a hazard, he said.

While the effect of wildfire risk on home values is minimal for now, it could grow over time, the report warns. “This pattern may become stronger in years to come if residential construction continues to expand into areas with higher fire risk and if trends in wildfire severity continue.”

Soaring Travel Costs Are Weighing on Even the Wealthiest Vacationers, WSJ Study Shows

Report by the San Francisco Fed shows small increase in premiums for properties further away from the sites of recent fires